New poll results released Thursday showed Pres Joe Biden Just before Donald Trump as voters prepare to choose their preferred candidate for the general election on November 5.
Thin lead: According to a new Reuters/Ipsos poll, Biden led Trump by one percentage point, securing 39% support from registered voters compared to 38% among registered voters. The poll, which took place March 7-13, interviewed 3,356 randomly selected registered voters nationwide. The poll’s margin of error, a measure of uncertainty, was +/- 1.8 percentage points.
Biden’s lead is within the poll’s margin of error, suggesting the final tally will be too close to call when the election is held.
The percentage of voters who chose other options also increases uncertainty. 11% said they would vote for other candidates, 5% said they would not vote and 7% said they did not know or refused to answer.
The poll found that Trump had a marginal lead among all respondents, although Biden was ahead among registered voters. Registered voters are more likely to vote in November, so the incumbent president’s position in this category is significant, Reuters said. He added that only two-thirds of eligible voters turned out in the 2020 election, which Biden won.
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The verdict of the battleground states: The poll found that in seven states where election results were closer in 2020, the equation has changed. Forty percent of registered voters went with Trump in these swing states, aka battleground states, and a more modest 37% chose Biden.
“While nationwide polls give important signals about who America will vote for, only a handful of competitive states typically tip the scales in America’s electoral college, the ultimate decider in presidential elections,” says the relationship.
Kennedy – The dark horse: About 15% of registered voters said they would support the independent candidate Robert Kennedy Jr. if he appeared as the third candidate in the vote. This percentage, however, is down from 17% in the November survey.
Kennedy’s presence seemed to have an equal impact on Trump and Biden. When respondents were asked to choose between Trump and Biden in a two-way matchup, Biden received 50% support compared to Trump’s 48%.
The poll found that Trump also had weaknesses with independent voters and within his own party. Only 37% of supporters of Nikki Haley, who dropped out of the Republican primary race, said she would vote for Trump now. Sixteen percent said they would vote for Biden, and the rest suggested he might or might not vote for someone else.
Image credits – Shutterstock/Modified
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