Veteran Democratic campaign strategist James Carville warned in a video Sunday that the tendency of young people to say they won’t support Democrats is a serious problem for the party.
Some even described it as a panic video.
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James Carville: “We won’t lose them, they will leave en masse”
“I’ve been very vocal about it,” Carville said. “It’s terrifying the number of our younger voters, especially young black people, young Latino people… young people of color. Especially males. We’re not losing them, they’re leaving en masse.”
Carville noted that young voters have traditionally been an important Democratic voting bloc. She also noted that young people’s feelings about how President Biden is handling the Israel-Gaza war are a significant factor.
Carville said in February: “I think this problem runs deep, and I think it runs much deeper than just progressive advocates or young people or college campuses. I hope the president can get some sort of ceasefire and take this issue out of the fire because, frankly, the political damage is quite substantial. And if we get to Chicago at the convention and this thing still goes on, I don’t want to think about what’s going to happen there.
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He’s right
The Clinton-era campaign strategist isn’t wrong. And the 2024 election could be a very different year for his party. He also extends to other traditionally Democratic voting blocs.
According to Gallup data released in February, the significant lead the Democratic Party had over Republicans among Black Americans overall and Hispanic Americans ages 18 to 29 has declined by nearly 20% over the past three years.
But it is the young people who worry James Carville the most.
According to the Daily Caller, “President Joe Biden was supported by 52% of Americans ages 18 to 34, while former President Donald Trump received support from 48% of this crucial Democratic voting bloc according to February poll data.”
“Younger voters were key to Biden’s coalition in 2020 as a Pew Research Center analysis found that 59% of voters aged 18-29 voted for him in the 2020 presidential election, while Trump received 33% of the vote in this bloc,” the article notes. .
Will 2024 be significantly different?
And are James Carville’s concerns legitimate? We’ll know for sure in November.