President Joe Biden and former president Donald Trump they are the favorites in the 2024 presidential elections.
For some voters, it will be the first time they have been eligible to vote for a president as they have reached the legal voting age of 18 in recent years. In previous elections, younger voters had gravitated towards one political party, but that may be changing.
What happened: National polls of registered voters have predicted a close race between Biden and Trump, and the two candidates have remained close in sports betting odds.
The 2024 election between Biden and Trump would be a rematch of the 2020 presidential election, which Biden won to become the 46thth president of the United States.
A recent Morning Consult poll of nationwide registered voters ages 18 to 34 shows a tight race, with the following results and those from the previous poll in parentheses.
Donald Trump: 41% (41%)
Joe Biden: 41% (40%)
Somebody else: 11% (12%)
I do not know: 7% (7%)
The poll shows Biden and Trump are tied among the youngest voter base, which could be important as the 2024 election approaches.
Biden previously had stronger support among young voters, with 47% of the vote among those aged 18-34 in December 2022 and holding a 44% or higher vote and lead in every month since December 2022 in September 2023 before the advantage among young voters strengthened.
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Because it is important: According to Statista, 55% of voters between the ages of 18 and 29 voted in the 2020 election, which marked a significant increase from the 44% who turned out in the 2016 election. Peak voter turnout among young people it was 55.4% in 1972.
The 2020 election was won by Biden, and Trump won the 2016 election.
Younger voters have often voted Democratic, with a Politico report saying the last Republican to win the youth vote was George HW Bush in 1988. Eight presidential elections have been held since then. Of the eight elections, five were won by Democrats.
Politico reported that Trump is gaining support among young voters, which could spell trouble for Biden as this is a key demographic he will likely need to win if they show strong turnout again.
Coincidentally, the report states that Biden has gained support from older voters. No Democrat has won the “senior vote” since. Al Gore in the 2000 elections.
The 2024 presidential election remains close, and key demographics such as young, elderly and voters in swing states remain critical on the path to victory in the highly anticipated rematch.
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